Will China have 4 aircraft carriers by the end of 2027?
8
97
Ṁ811Ṁ170
2028
75%
chance
1D
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1M
ALL
China currently has 3 aircraft carriers. South China Morning Post reports that China's 4th aircraft carrier "is expected to be launched between 2025 and 2027" while the CSBA forecasts China will continue to only have 3 aircraft carriers in 2026 (see table and footnote on pg. 72) but could have as many as 5 by 2031 (see pg. 52).
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