C-3PO by 2030?
25
closes 2030
47%
chance

Must be 1:1 scale, walk at movie speed, and be fluent in over six million forms of communication, or at least every form of communication that can be enumerated at time of resolution.

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JimHays avatar
Jim Haysbought Ṁ50 of NO
  1. It needs to not just be a helpful droid somewhat like C-3PO, but be explicitly designed to be a replica?

  2. It would need to be able to interpret and produce signed languages?

cloudprism avatar
Hayden Jacksonis predicting YES at 47%

@JimHays Yes and yes. And this is very possible! I could see it even happening this year.

TobyBW avatar
TobyBW

Obviously that last part is a bit of a joke, but seriously for resolution does it need to speak independently of control (Alexa-level), or be more advanced (GPT-level), or just a speaker and a human at a microphone? And does it need to know multiple languages? 2? 10?

cloudprism avatar
Hayden Jacksonis predicting YES at 34%

@TobyBusickWarner Yes, that part is a bit of a joke. What I'm getting at is whether it could more-or-less perform the basic functions of a protocol droid in the Star Wars universe as applied to our present reality. I would expect it to be independently autonomous, as in more advanced (GPT-level), assisting as an intermediary in communication, etc.

This is theoretically possible today, but I haven't seen anyone build it.

Further reading: https://starwars.fandom.com/wiki/Protocol_droid

jacksonpolack avatar
jackson polackbought Ṁ15 of YES

Am I missing something here? Humanoid robots that can walk already exist, and low-data unsupervised machine translation also exists. you could make this today?

jacksonpolack avatar
jackson polackis predicting YES at 23%

well, "you" meaning a decently sized well-resourced team, but things get easier as time passes

cloudprism avatar
Hayden Jacksonis predicting YES at 23%

@jacksonpolack You could! I haven't seen a fully functional replica yet though

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