Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/

Carrie Poppy: Okay. I’ll say Elon Musk—is he currently married or engaged? No, right? I think?

(Ross sighs uncertainly.)

Elon Musk—

Ross Blocher: He has kids.

Carrie Poppy: He dated Amber Heard?! Woah. That’s quite a connection.

Ross Blocher: Did he?! Wow. From Johnny Depp to Elon Musk—or vice versa.

Carrie Poppy: Uh, yeah, 2015 to 2017. 11 kids?! Holy shit. Okay, well, then my guess continues to be good. It’s going to be Elon Musk gets engaged or married.

Ross Blocher: He has 11 kids?! What?!

Carrie Poppy: I guess so. That’s what it says on his Wikipedia. I mean, he’s had three spouses. Oh, no, wait. He’s had three marriages to two spouses.

I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)

With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets: