Will US inflation be above 5.0% in March 2023?
16
43
แน€330
resolved Apr 12
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if CPI-U is above 301.879 in the March 2023 release (to be released Apr 12th)

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bought แน€1,219 of NO

301.836, resolves NO

@chrisjbillington did you change the description? Because last year was 5% below for the same date.

predicted NO

@ShajajWjai I didn't, at least I don't recall doing so, and it looks correct to me. Last year's number for March is 287.504, so +5% on that would give 301.879.

Instead we got 301.836 / 287.504 = 1.0498.

@chrisjbillington you're correct, it's rounding error lol

predicted YES

Next one for April: