Will there be evidence of unauthorised access to Manifold's Firebase database?
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@Mira says:

I also believe with ~60% confidence that someone got admin access to Manifold's Firebase database and could see everyone's Google account names and emails(it was months ago though).

Did something like this happen in 2023, prior to market creation?

Resolves YES if there's good evidence in the next year that it did, and NO otherwise.

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@ian Did you cycle the Firebase keys for both live and dev on May 16, 2023 because Google contacted you about a private key that was accidentally checked into Github months prior?

I would guess that the file was named "mantic-markets-firebase-adminsdk.json", but I cannot locate the actual commit.

predicts NO

@Mira Yes, I did. I did forget about this incident, though... I still doubt anyone used the key

Edited the description from 2022→2023, I meant to write 2023 intitially. If anyone was trading on it being 2022 specifically, let me know.

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