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MANIFOLD
Will the next Starship Orbital flight attempt occur before September 23rd?
17
Ṁ310Ṁ9.8k
resolved Sep 23
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if, before September 23rd local time at the launch site, an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream of a launch attempt of a Starship–Superheavy full stack intended to fly on an orbital or near-orbital trajectory. Market resolves when the stream goes live and shows views of the rocket and a countdown, not on e.g. a waiting screen.

The launch needn't be successful and can even be scrubbed, as long as the attempt was serious enough that they put up the livestream.

Resolves NO if there is clearly no such livestream before September 23rd, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened.

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It Has to!!!