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MANIFOLD
Will the Hard Fork YouTube channel reach 10k subscribers by the end of Nov 2023?
27
Ṁ490Ṁ4.6k
resolved Dec 1
Resolved
NO

The channel is located here:

https://youtube.com/@hardfork

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8.86k

Not looking very likely

predictedNO

@ChrisEdwards Are you gonna resolve this first thing on december 1 or at the market’s resolution date? Not rly important but I’m asking bc of the opportunity cost

predictedNO

to be clear, in EST the market resolution date is december 2 at 1:59 AM

@TheBayesian I'll resolve it once the market closes (as soon as I get to it). If I forget, comment on the thread and I'll get a notification.

predictedNO
predictedYES

8.63k

Going to need a big bump to make 10k by Thursday

predictedYES

8.36K as of right now

Description link should be updated to https://youtube.com/@hardfork
(edit: fixed now ^^)

They just dropped a one hour interview with Sam Altman. That could give them a bump

predictedNO

~30 new subs in the last week unfortunately, not quite enough

predictedNO

not sure why but the description’s link doesn’t work, so here it is https://youtube.com/@hardfork?si=4ZZ9IXYU8tXrFH4b

predictedNO

btw here’s where I got the graph above; 8.4k subs currently, with a dozen per week, would require a new episode with more views to get there by nov 31. Good luck though!!! https://socialblade.com/youtube/channel/UChkHMRwvBm03kpsIn6dckvQ

@TheBayesian That's the wrong channel, here's the links for what I believe is the correct one:
SB (unfortunately, not indexed before): https://socialblade.com/youtube/channel/UCZcR2SVWaGWNlMqPxvQS3vw

YT: https://www.youtube.com/@hardfork/videos

predictedNO

@Eiim oh gee thanks, that graph was saying march 2021 and I hadn't realized!

Well they're currently at 6.89K on nov 20.

predictedNO

@TheBayesian 7.45k 16 hours later 😬

predictedNO

@TheBayesian 7.95k 1d14h later