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MANIFOLD
Will Justin Trudeau cease being PM before Joe Biden ceases being President?
47
แน€110แน€8.8k
resolved Feb 19
Resolved
NO

  • Update 2025-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Resolution Criteria:

    • Justin Trudeau will cease being PM if an interim leader is appointed.

    • The likely outcome is a leadership race resulting in Trudeau's departure as PM around March or April.

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@chris Resolves NO.

Resolves NO.

Canada has never had an interim PM. I'm surprised this is at 95%

@chris What about Kim Campbell and John Turner?

@AndrewHebb I just confirmed after reading Wikipedia that neither of these people was PM until after a leadership vote.

The likelihood of the Liberals voting for a new leader before Trump's inauguration is close to zero.

bought แน€40 YES

@chris never say never

@chris Presumably he stops being PM once he resigns, not when a replacement is appointed.

@EBSnyder Did I say never?

@AndrewHebb that all depends if they decide to appoint an interim leader. I think most likely outcome is they will announce a leadership race that will result in the end of him being PM, around March or April.

@chris He's said he will resign after they choose a replacement.

opened a แน€200 NO at 20% order

@chris Yes lol

But regardless, Trudeau supposedly dismissed this session, so pretty much never as of 30m ago.

@EBSnyder I didn't say we'd never have one. I said we've never had one. That's very different.