(M300 subsidy) Will I (chilli) reach top 50 in All-Time Manifold profit after 2 months?
17
129
630
resolved Jun 10
Resolved
NO

As of creating this market, I'm at 19033 all-time profit, at number 56th on the leaderboard.

Will I, at the time of market close, be in the top 50?

I won't trade in this market.

Apr 9, 10:24am: Will I (Horace He) reach top 50 in All-Time Manifold profit within the next 2 months? → (M300 subsidy) Will I (Horace He) reach top 50 in All-Time Manifold profit within the next 2 months?

Apr 12, 10:17pm: (M300 subsidy) Will I (Horace He) reach top 50 in All-Time Manifold profit within the next 2 months? → (M300 subsidy) Will I (chilli) reach top 50 in All-Time Manifold profit within the next 2 months?

Apr 15, 5:18pm: (M300 subsidy) Will I (chilli) reach top 50 in All-Time Manifold profit within the next 2 months? → (M300 subsidy) Will I (chilli) reach top 50 in All-Time Manifold profit after 2 months?

Get Ṁ200 play money

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As of this time, I’m more or less back where I started, at 55 all time profit.

I peaked at about 53, before WvM occurred. I overall gained about 2k profit over the whole event, but it also minted a massive amount of newly rich users, which dropped me down to a low of 74. Since then, I’ve steadily gotten back to 55 all time.

Really fun question - did some modeling. Not going to bet, but I guess 70-75 with some confidence range of 50-100. @DavidChee should have the best guess since his profit is pretty close to yours

predicted YES

@PC haha may trajectory is drastically different though. He got there through impressively consistent gains.

I got there with valleys, mountains and fucking circles.

What's your position right now?

@MarcusAbramovitch I feel like that may take some of the mystery out of this market :P

A lot of your wins seem in a narrow category of questions. Good luck though.