Which probability option would you choose?

17

107

Never closes

50% for A, 50% for B

90% for A, and 10% for B

There are 100 people total. 30 of them are from group A, 70 are from group B. And group A and B are things you cannot switched in-between from.

There are two sets of probability of death for individuals in the groups:

50% for A, 50% for B

90% for A, 10% for B

You are from one of the groups, *but you don’t know which group you belong to*. There are equal probability for you to belong to A or B. Would you choose option 1, or option 2?

(My vote is unintentional/accident; I do not plan to vote any of the polls in this series.)

Get Ṁ600 play money

## More related questions

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What is your intuition about this probability comparison?

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with your value? (Death probabilities assignment on two groups, you are in group A)

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If you could choose (again), what would you do?

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