Resolution criteria

This market resolves to "Yes" if the probability assigned to this question is less than 50% at market close. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." The probability is determined by the final percentage displayed on the market's page at the time of closing.

Background

In prediction markets, the probability reflects the collective judgment of participants regarding the likelihood of an event. A probability below 50% indicates that traders believe the event is more likely not to occur than to occur.

Considerations

Participants should be aware that market probabilities can fluctuate due to various factors, including new information, trader sentiment, and market dynamics. It's essential to monitor the market regularly to make informed decisions.