If by some rule, your death (1 person) brings world peace or deters a major catastrophic risk, will you do this?
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Would you die if your death (by some rule) would result in the world being the way you wanted/would design?
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Conditional on WW3 before 2030, will I decide that s-risks are at least 10% more likely than in worlds without war?
65% chance
Would you choose to save 100 lives with you own life?
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@WilliamGunn “discount the potential gains by the likelihood that your action will lead to the outcome” could you elaborate what you mean by this with some examples? potential gains/p(your action will lead to the outcome)?
@cheshirecat It's no good to sacrifice yourself to save someone if someone else kills them right after you sacrifice yourself, right? I'm sure you can imagine various scenarios where people have various likelihoods of living and where your sacrifice is more or less effective at changing those probabilities.
(Wrong comment removed)
@zyc Yeah, I knew what you meant, I just find that less interesting to think about than more realistic scenarios.
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