Will I visit Proof School at least three times before June? | Manifold Markets

Will I visit Proof School at least three times before June?

17

closes Jun 1

7%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Visiting counts either as going on an open lunch trip with at least one Proofnik for the at least fifty minutes of the lunch break, or entering the Proof School building during a Proof School day, both with Dr.V's given consent. Visiting cannot happen multiple times in one day, i.e. if I wait inside the Proof School building, and then leave for open lunch, only one visit day is counted.

This question resolves to "yes" if I visit Proof School thrice before June 1, 2023.

If I have not visted (to the conditions above) three times before June 1, 2023, this resolves to "no."

Dec 30, 10:17pm: ~~Will I visit Proof School three times before June?~~ → Will I visit Proof School at least three times before June?

nina bought Ṁ40 NO from 8% to 7%

Trong bought Ṁ10 YES from 6% to 8%

nacho bought Ṁ4 YES at 6%

Nico Alberti bought Ṁ10 NO at 6%

zwee sold Ṁ21 NO at 6%

tortillinitortellini bought Ṁ30 NO at 6%

Conflux sold Ṁ33 YES from 13% to 6%

zwee bought Ṁ20 NO at 13%

cloe sold Ṁ4 YES from 15% to 13%

Mira Krishnaiah sold Ṁ5 YES from 16% to 15%

0cto bought Ṁ10 NO at 16%

HMYS_BOT_3000 bought Ṁ1 YES at 16%

HMYS_BOT_3000 bought Ṁ1 YES at 16%

HMYS_BOT_3000 bought Ṁ2 YES from 15% to 16%

HMYS_BOT_3000 bought Ṁ2 YES at 15%

HMYS_BOT_3000 bought Ṁ2 YES from 14% to 15%

Conflux sold Ṁ2 YES from 15% to 14%

Conflux sold Ṁ52 YES from 26% to 15%

Conflux sold Ṁ14 YES from 31% to 26%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ9/Ṁ11 NO at 31% (cancelled)

cloe bought Ṁ10 YES from 29% to 33%

Conflux filled limit order Ṁ22/Ṁ50 YES at 15% (cancelled)

Conflux bought Ṁ30 YES from 16% to 29%

Conflux bought Ṁ10 YES from 11% to 16%

Conflux bought Ṁ10 YES from 7% to 11%

pancakes bought Ṁ500 NO from 88% to 7%

Conflux sold Ṁ22 YES from 89% to 88%

Conflux bought Ṁ50 YES from 87% to 89%

Conflux bought Ṁ100 YES from 82% to 87%

Conflux bought Ṁ70 YES from 77% to 82%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 YES at 77% (cancelled)

Conflux sold Ṁ95 YES from 83% to 76%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ13/Ṁ100 YES at 83% (cancelled)

Conflux bought Ṁ100 YES from 74% to 82%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ100 NO at 74% (cancelled)

pancakes sold Ṁ43 NO from 61% to 75%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 NO at 61% (cancelled)

Trong sold Ṁ21 NO from 56% to 62%

audrey sold Ṁ5 YES from 57% to 56%

audrey bought Ṁ5 YES from 56% to 57%

Conflux sold Ṁ11 YES from 59% to 56%

Conflux bought Ṁ10 YES from 56% to 59%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 YES at 56% (cancelled)

pancakes bought Ṁ50 NO from 72% to 54%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ13/Ṁ100 YES at 72% (cancelled)

Hannah Fox bought Ṁ10 NO from 74% to 70%

Hannah Fox bought Ṁ10 NO from 77% to 74%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 NO at 77% (cancelled)

pancakes sold Ṁ28 NO from 68% to 78%

power creep bought Ṁ10 YES from 67% to 68%

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Related markets

Will I return to Proof next year?10%

will i attend proof graduation 2023?33%

Will I get a job at Proof School by 2060?41%

Will I ever be a proofnik?8%

Will I be in college next school year?82%

Will I graduate with a PhD in 3 years?40%

Will I pass this first year of college?85%

Will I drop out of a PhD within 3 years?29%

Will I be promoted to the platinum league by the end of June34%

Will I graduate in person?84%

Clemens Berting

Will I have to attend to court this year?45%

Will I have completed my PhD by June 14th, 2024?49%

Will I attend more concerts then last year?34%

Will I get accepted into a prime number of colleges?36%

Will I drop out of college?74%

Will I get hit by a bike before I graduate high school?22%

Will I complete my PhD?49%

Will I be happy about it if I get tutors this summer?77%

Will I still believe in my wordplay theory of romantic compatibility at end of school year?85%

Will I have taken the GWWC pledge by Jul 1st?35%