
When will Proof School move?
When will Proof School move?
2
130Ṁ1352028
3%
'25/'26 Block 1 or earlier
8%
'25/'26 Block 2
9%
'25/'26 Block 3
10%
'25/'26 Block 4
10%
'25/'26 Block 5
10%
'26/'27 Block 1
8%
'26/'27 Block 2
8%
'26/'27 Block 3
8%
'26/'27 Block 4
8%
'26/'27 Block 5
8%
'27/'28 Block 1
6%
'27/'28 Block 2
4%
resolves when first full day of classes happens at new building
future blocks may be added
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Which colleges will Proof School ‘25 attend?
Will anyone drop out of Proof School in the next 2 years?
97% chance
Will I get a job at Proof School by 2060?
45% chance
By the start of 2025, will there be >=1 students attending Proof School who first heard about it on Manifold Markets?
8% chance
By the start of 2027, will there be >=1 students attending Proof School who first heard about it on Manifold Markets?
23% chance