Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to whichever answer option (1, 2, 3, or 4) has the highest "yes" percentage at market close. The market closes in 24 hours from creation. Resolution will be determined by the final probability distribution shown on the market at UTC close time.

Background

This is a winner-takes-all market where only one answer can resolve yes while the others resolve no. The outcome is determined entirely by trader sentiment and prediction probabilities rather than external events.

Considerations

Since resolution depends on relative trader positions rather than objective external criteria, the winning answer may shift as traders adjust their positions during the 24-hour window. Traders should monitor the live probability percentages closely as the market approaches close.