Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2025?
Plus
12
Ṁ27552026
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves YES if the University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment is less than 90 points in every month from July 2024 to December 2025.
Consumer sentiment was regularly above 90 points from December 2014 until February 2020. The most recent figure for May was 69.1 points.
Will consumer sentiment remain below pre-pandemic levels every month until the end of 2025?
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2024?
86% chance
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
32% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
30% chance
Will any US state secede before 2050?
27% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
33% chance
Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2025?
47% chance
Will there be major social unrest in the USA by July 2025?
24% chance
Will any US county attempt to secede from the state it belongs to by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will the US see a violent insurgency before 2030?
Will a state in the USA attempt to secede from the union before January 2025?
9% chance