How many Electoral College votes will Biden win?
17
1kṀ3722resolved Nov 6
Resolved
191.00-214.001H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Lower and Upper bounds are based on 270towin's "Safe" consensus ratings for both candidates.
Does not account for faithless electors.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@mods How are markets like this being handled? 191 is the lowest bucket, but Biden won't get anywhere near there. Should this just N/A?
Yeah I think it resolves to the lowest number, idk tho
Numeric markets on manifold often have explicit clauses that if the number's outside the range it resolves to the closest bucket, and markets without that clause generally resolve to the nearest bucket anway. Since the creator hasn't responded I'll officially clarify that it resolves to the closest bucket when the election happens.