Will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline be blocked or sanctioned by 2023?
11
22
resolved Feb 23
Resolved
YES
"US Senate Democrats on Thursday voted down a bill that would have put sanctions on businesses involved in the Nord Stream 2 pipeline between Russia and Germany... US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has said that Germany will almost certainly block the pipeline if Russia invades Ukraine. Germany's new government has not given any definitive assurance of this publicly... The Nord Stream 2 pipeline is currently awaiting final approval from German and European officials before it goes into operation. The Nord Stream 2 pipeline would double the volume of gas pumped into Germany by Russian firm Gazprom. Both Republican and Democratic lawmakers have voiced their concern that this increases Putin's leverage over Europe. Ukraine and Poland also oppose Nord Stream 2. The pipeline would allow Russia to bypass transit fees through those countries." https://www.dw.com/en/nord-stream-2-us-senate-democrats-defeat-sanctions-bill/a-60420538 ----------- This question resolves positively if either: a) the United States government imposes sanctions on the Nord Stream 2 Pipeline before 2023; b) Germany blocks the pipeline; or c) European officials blocks the pipeline. This question will resolve on either 1/1/23 or when the resolution criteria is met, whichever is first. #RussiaUkraine Feb 23, 5:47pm: NOTE: Waiting for Biden to announce sanctions which reports says he will do soon: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/biden-russia-nord-stream-2-sanction-b2021714.html. Not resolving on Scholz's announcement since that is only a three month delay. Feb 23, 6:58pm: RESOLVED: https://twitter.com/NatashaBertrand/status/1496559653072875522
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bought Ṁ1 of YES
https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/statement_22_1286 Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: "On Nord Stream 2, I think the German government is absolutely right. Nord Stream 2 has to be assessed in light of the security of energy supply for the whole of Europe. Because this crisis shows that Europe is still too dependent on Russian gas. We have to diversify our suppliers and massively invest in renewables. This is a strategic investment in our energy independence. Our action today is a response to Russia´s aggressive behaviour. If Russia continues to escalate this crisis that it has created, we are ready to take further action in response. The EU is united and acting fast."
bought Ṁ11 of YES
Lol I had bought YES @23%
bought Ṁ100 of YES
In my opinion, "halting the approval" is tantamount to "(b) Germany blocks the pipeline"
bought Ṁ143 of YES
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/olaf-scholz-ukraine-germany-russia-moscow-b2020352.html How would you like to resolve this market?
sold Ṁ15 of NO
Maybe close to 50-50 so I sold here.
bought Ṁ10 of NO
Russia might not invade Ukraine, this is cheap

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