Will more than 5,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War this year?
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100Ṁ16kresolved Apr 16
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To date ~14,000 people have been killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Casualties_of_the_Russo-Ukrainian_War). The first year of the war was the deadliest, with just over 5,000 people dying (https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Casualties_of_the_Russo-Ukrainian_War&oldid=644065338).
There is talk of another Russia invasion on Ukraine this year with some saying it will be large scale. Will this year be at least as deadly as 2014? #RussiaUkraine #War
Mar 2, 2:19pm: Waiting for official confirmation to resolve
Apr 5, 2:48pm:
Latest confirmed numbers from each side:
Russia MoD says 1,351 of its soldiers killed as of March 26: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/russian-general-claims-only-1-172549136.html
UN OHCHR says 1,430 civilians killed as of April 4: https://www.foxnews.com/world/un-1400-civilians-killed-russia-invasion-numbers-rise
Zelensky says 1,300 of its soldiers killed as of March 13: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/13/ukraine-mourns-soldiers-killed-russia-war-volodymyr-zelenskiy
= 4081 confirmed so far. Looking for any more recent reports which would push this past 5K as of now.
Apr 16, 7:18am: Zelensky says 2,500 - 3,000 troops which puts the total past 5k: https://www.reuters.com/world/ukraines-zelenskiy-between-2500-3000-ukrainian-troops-have-died-war-2022-04-16/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Going with Zvi here: https://thezvi.substack.com/p/ukraine-post-1-prediction-markets?utm_source=url&s=r
Plus there's been 2000+ civillian deaths already.
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