Will there be a government shutdown in the US in 2023?
Jan 1

We'll define a "shutdown" as government employees being furloughed.

Jan 8, 4:11pm: Will there be a government shutdown in 2023? → Will there be a government shutdown in the US in 2023?

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Mira 🦚bought Ṁ0 of YES

Leaving M180 in an exit order for anyone that wants to sell out, for 1 week.

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Orcatronpredicts NO
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Zvi Mowshowitzbought Ṁ0 of YES

Some YES limit orders available for 3 days.

JustNo avatar
JustNopredicts YES

Anyone spotted any statements from the last shutdown scare from the new speaker?

Odoacre avatar

How exactly can the shutdown be avoided?

JimAusman avatar

@Odoacre Congress elects a speaker and they pass a budget, even a temporary one.

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Marcus Abramovitchbought Ṁ0 of YES

I have put up a 10k limit order at 59% on Yes. It will last for 1 month.

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dittopooppredicts YES

This could’ve all been avoided if John Fetterman out on a suit

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MPbought Ṁ240 of YES

GoodJudgement at 72%

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Kevin Burkebought Ṁ100 of YES
ChrisGillett avatar
Chris Gillettpredicts YES


President Biden's budget will ask for increase in military spending. McCarthy promised military spending cuts in his deal to become speaker.

"The budget is unlikely to gain momentum on Capitol Hill as Republicans, who control the House, are expected to oppose most of Mr. Biden’s proposals. [...] House Republicans have said spending cuts will be a condition for raising the debt ceiling, which the U.S. is already bumping up against. Mr. Biden says he won’t negotiate on the subject, calling for a “clean” debt ceiling increase without conditions. The government could become unable to pay its bills as soon as this summer, and failing to raise the debt ceiling could wreak havoc on global markets."

BjornJurgens avatar
Björn Jürgens

I assume you mean in the US?

brwa avatar

@BjornJurgens That's right, I'll update to clarify.

JakeWasserman avatar
Jake Wassermanpredicts YES

@brwa Just for further language tightening,

  • You probably mean federal?

  • If you're using furloughs, you might want to specify if you're counting the order itself, or the actual furlough day arriving,

  • and whether furloughs of x many specific departments counts...