Will Starship undergo a static fire test of 33 engines or fewer by Feb 14?
4
1
130
resolved Feb 9
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if any engines are lit before 11:59:59 Feb 14 EST, according to video or official statements. Resolves NO on Feb. 15, but resolution may be delayed if it is unclear whether a test occurred, or at what time the engines were lit. Explosions will be judged on whether they seem to happen before or after engine ignition.

Due to the potentially subjective nature of resolution, I will not trade in this market.

Feb 9, 10:26am: Will Starship undergo a static fire test of less than 33 engines by Feb 14? → Will Starship undergo a static fire test of 33 engines or less by Feb 14?

Feb 9, 10:26am: Will Starship undergo a static fire test of 33 engines or less by Feb 14? → Will Starship undergo a static fire test of 33 engines or fewer by Feb 14?

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ21
2Ṁ20
3Ṁ14
4Ṁ9
Sort by:
bought Ṁ100 of YES

"Resolves YES if any engines are lit" resolves YES

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1623793909959901184

bought Ṁ50 of YES
sold Ṁ57 of YES

If they test fire S25 by Feb 14, and not the booster that's currently on the OLM, presumably that still counts as "any engines" being lit, right? The market implies it is asking about the planned static fire test of the booster, but the way it is stated a ship static fire would also fulfill the conditions.

bought Ṁ40 of YES

The title says "less than 33", but the description says "any amount". Will this also resolve Yes if exactly 33 engines are lit?

@Mqrius Good point. Yes, and I will change the title.