Will I contract Covid-19 if I travel to Wisconsin for 2-3 weeks in Sept 2022?
13%
chance
I'm planning a trip to Wisconsin (from Asia) in September. This market is to assess my risk of testing positive while in the US and thus become unable to return to Asia in a timely manner.
- This market resolves to "Yes" if I test positive for Covid-19 during or within one week following my planned travel to Wisconsin
- This market resolves to "No" if I make the trip and do not test positive.
- This market resolves void if I test positive between now and September.
- This market resolves void if I cannot travel.
- This market resolves "Yes" if I cancel the trip due to Covid concerns.
Disclosures:
- The purpose of the trip is to visit my elderly parents.
- We are all triple-vaccinated.
- I have not previously tested positive, despite being exposed several times.
- Tests prior to departure and upon return will be PCR. Tests in the US (if symptomatic) will be home tests.
- I am planning to double-mask with N95 / KF94 and a surgical mask during the flight and in the airport. (The flight is 14 hours with one or two layovers.)
- I will probably spend most of the trip at home and in nature with my parents.
Please feel free to ask additional questions to assess my risk profile in the comments.