Will a containership enter or leave the inner Port of Baltimore by May? (i.e. Key Bridge debris removed?)

Shipping•Francis Scott Key Bridge Disaster

100

Ṁ889

Ṁ280

May 1

68%

chance

ALL

Will assess by looking at actual containership traffic. Resolution in EST.

Clarifications:

For this market, only containerships count.
The Dali would also count, if it passes the bridge and leaves the bay subsequent to the accident (so if its final position is on the opposite side of the bridge from which it was recovered).

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ3 YES

A container ship is en route to the Baltimore port: https://www.vesselfinder.com/vessels/details/9399765

"The vessel is en route to USILG-USBAL, and expected to arrive there on Apr 27, 18:00. The vessel MSC PASSION III (IMO 9399765, MMSI 636020354) is a Container Ship built in 2008 (16 years old) and currently sailing under the flag of Liberia."

The ship is coming from the port of Wilmington:

Recent Port Calls: United States (USA)Wilmington, United States (USA)

Arrival (UTC) Apr 25, 18:45

Departure (UTC) Apr 26, 13:49

In Port 19h 4m

bought Ṁ15 YES

The ship already passed the fallen bridge. https://www.vesselfinder.com/?imo=9399765

The ship is marked as arrived to the port of Baltimore:
https://www.vesselfinder.com/ports/USBAL001

@Bjorn time to resolve the market?

Corresponding page on marinetraffic.com: https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:758077/mmsi:636020354/imo:9399765/vessel:MSC_PASSION_III

No container ships yet, but the Swedish-flagged Carmen, a 232 meter long car carrier, left the port through the temporary channel a few hours ago. https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:327524/mmsi:266339000/imo:9505027/vessel:CARMEN

Would moving the Dali itself count, since it would require a clear passage and is a container ship?

@Kolyin Yes, if the Dali leaves the bay, passing the bridge in the process. The important part being the "passing of the bridge", since that would imply that a channel is cleared.

A limited access channel is set to open on Thursday: "The Fort McHenry Limited Access Channel will have a controlling depth of 35 feet, a 300-foot horizontal clearance, and vertical clearance of 214 feet."

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8IxY31XlFP0

I think cargo operations are highly likely to resume before the end of April, but before I put in more mana I have a question about the resolution criteria. Given that containerships have historically been a minority of traffic into the port of Baltimore (it's mostly been car carriers and bulk transports), would the transit of a car carrier or of bulk carrier resolve this YES? Since that the end of the month is approaching and it may come down to a matter of hours, I'd like to determine whether the resolution of this market will hinge on whether the first large ship that enters/exits is a type of ship that was less common to begin with.

@Jwags Shoot. I didn't know that. My intent was to measure ship traffic, not containership traffic. However, it would be unfair to rugpull all the other traders. So I'll create a new market.