Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?
304
1kṀ240k
resolved May 21
Resolved
YES
38

Resolves YES if and only if the high price on any one-minute candle in Binance’s BTC-USDT market equals or exceeds $110,000.00 USDT after market creation and on or before May 31st, 11:59pm ET.

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Where is Hillary?
Is she safe?
Is she all right?

@Panfilo presumably pondering whether to fill my order

bought Ṁ2,042 YES

Resolves yes!

New ATH! 109,666!

Hold the wall!

bought Ṁ300 YES

96% Chance!

So close

Rooting for Hillary Rodham Clinton because I already fucked up my own league rankings assuming they would win this.

@Panfilo I have a big beautiful wall of sell orders at the ATH. Hold the wall!

P.S. I blame the devaluation of the dollar for this breaking 110k if it hits.

@HillaryClinton the dollar’s down less than 1% since this market opened!

bitcoin is just very volatile!

@brod Yes, but it's down about 9% Since it's ATH in January. So it's ruining the psychological wall in Europe and Asia.

with apologies to the manifold API

107.5k we are getting close.

bought Ṁ50 YES

Market is down, bitcoin is up. I did not see this coming. I'm gonna be so mad if we hit an ATH, while the stock market doesn't.

@HillaryClinton digital gold baby

@brod more like a leveraged NASDAQ ETF.

@HillaryClinton probably a convex combination thereof

bought Ṁ14 YES

@brod since 2018 (most unfair starting point for BTC)

@deagol interesting! definitely lthe correlation with gold is like mega leveraged. in principle you could regress btc returns against weighting*leverage*nasdaq + (1-weighting)*leverage*gold and see which weighting fits best

why does this market swing so much when bitcoin barely moves?

@zsig Anecdotal analysis and when someone came across the market for their input.

@zsig It should be priced as a barrier option with 10 days to expiry, so the gamma is very high.

bought Ṁ150 YES

And it's back again! Crossing 50% for a 10th time lol.

@HillaryClinton as time to expiry approaches zero and bitcoin approaches 110k this market becomes effectively infinitely leveraged on bitcoin. fun!

@brod You know what they say, put all your eggs in one basket.

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