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MANIFOLD
Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
25
Ṁ1kṀ4.7k
Dec 31
87%
US Federal Reserve
47%
Bank of England
30%
Bank of Canada
30%
Reserve Bank of India
25%
Swiss National Bank
18%
People’s Bank of China
Resolved
YES
European Central Bank
Resolved
YES
Bank of Japan
Resolved
YES
Bank of Korea
Resolved
YES
Reserve Bank of New Zealand

Resolves YES iff the relevant bank hikes interest rates, by any amount, at any point in 2026, according to multiple credible news sources.

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