How far above 2% will US May inflation (CPI) be?
2
10kṀ360
Jun 11
40%
chance

Resolves to the value of non-seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers over the 12 months to May 2025 MINUS 2 percentage points. For example:

  • 2.3% resolves 30%

  • 2.6% resolves 60%

  • x% resolves 100*(x-2)% for x in [2, 3]

  • 2% or below resolves NO

  • 3% or above resolves YES

The BLS will release the figures on June 11 at 8:30am ET. The April figure was 2.3%, publication here: https://www.bls.gov/cpi/news.htm

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