Who will win the 2026 snooker Masters?
4
400Ṁ386
Jan 11
24%
Judd Trump
15%
Mark Selby
14%
Zhao Xintong
9%
Neil Robertson
7%
Si Jiahui
6%
Kyren Wilson
6%
Shaun Murphy
5%
Mark J Williams
4%
Mark Allen
2%
Wu Yize
1.5%
John Higgins
1.5%
Ding Junhui
1.5%
Barry Hawkins
1.5%
Xiao Guodong
1.5%
Gary Wilson

Tournament period is 11-18 Jan. Closes 11 Jan at 13:00 (UTC).

  • Update 2026-01-11 (UTC) Resolution clarification from creator:

    • Market will resolve YES for the winning player, assuming it is not Wakelin.

    • If Wakelin wins, resolution is N/A.

    • Creator's earlier comment about "lost bets" referred to YES bets only

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
boughtṀ200 NO

@brinanSee didn't you say that if a player withdraws all bets are lost? That's why I didn't bet him to 1%.

Also, why did you change the description?

@Velaris I replied to the email. However, I'll repeat here. Firstly, I have made a mess of things. My comment about lost bets referred to YES bets. I changed the description when I finally took notice of NO bets. I tried to push O'Sullivan's odds down to zero. If you have any suggestions let me know. At the moment I assume I resolve to YES for the winning player, assuming it is not Wakelin. If it is, do not know what I should do. My first multi-choice question.

@brinanSee If it is, you can just N/A I guess.
Next time please specify that the player will resolve NO if they withdraw since I assume that's what you meant by "lost bets".
Thanks for making this market.

@Velaris Yes, N/A will be the resolve if Wakelin wins the Masters. As for next time (and there will be), I'll use the option that allows player substitution for a multi-answer question.
I am thinking about closing future, similar questions sometime during the tournament. Say, before the semi-finals.

I should have set up the question in a way that allows for replacements.

Estimated True Odds

Odds to 1

Zhao Xintong 6.4

Mark Selby 6.6

Judd Trump 7.0

Kyren Wilson 11

Ronnie O'Sullivan 13

Shaun Murphy 14

John Higgins 15

Neil Robertson 17

Mark J Williams 17

Mark Allen 22

Ding Junhui 24

Barry Hawkins 26

Wu Yize 30

Xiao Guodong 33

Si Jiahui 49

Gary Wilson 82

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy