Will Vivek Ramaswamy become the #2 polling candidate anytime before the second GOP debate?
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This market will resolve based solely on the FiveThirtyEight "Who's Ahead in National Polls" chart section titled "Average as of Yesterday".
As of August 24, 2023, Vivek Ramaswamy currently polls at 10.3%. That puts him in third place behind Ron Desantis (14.8%) and Donald Trump (51.6%).
At any point before the next GOP debate begins on September 27, will he move into the #2 spot? It will resolve immediately upon me seeing the site and confirming that he moved into the #2 spot. If the debate date changes, I will modify the close date.
This may also resolve to "yes" if he ties for the #2 spot.
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