Which company will have the #1 Chatbot Arena model on January 1, 2027?
2
Ṁ125Ṁ19Dec 31
22%
OpenAI
20%
Anthropic
20%
Google
20%
xAI
20%
Other
Resolution criteria: This market resolves to the company whose model is ranked #1 on the overall Chatbot Arena leaderboard at 00:00 UTC on January 1, 2027. If no snapshot exists at that exact time, I will use the first leaderboard update on or after January 1, 2027. If Chatbot Arena is discontinued before then, this market will resolve based on its officially designated successor, or be canceled if no successor exists.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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