Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Which company will have the #1 Chatbot Arena model before January 1, 2027?
7
Ṁ125Ṁ126
Dec 31
7%
OpenAI
74%
Anthropic
6%
Google
6%
xAI
6%
Other

Resolution criteria: This market resolves to the company whose model is ranked #1 on the overall Chatbot Arena leaderboard at 00:00 UTC on January 1, 2027. If no snapshot exists at that exact time, I will use the first leaderboard update on or after January 1, 2027. If Chatbot Arena is discontinued before then, this market will resolve based on its officially designated successor, or be canceled if no successor exists.
LLM Leaderboard - Best Text & Chat AI Models Compared

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

this one? https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text

style control on or off?