How many international student visas would the US government revoke before July? (10k range)
5
1kṀ745
Jul 1
7,268 visas
expected
88%
Above 2,000
79%
Above 4,000
65%
Above 6,000
53%
Above 8,000
35%
Above 10,000

My initial market quickly maxed out the range of up to 1k in less than a week, so here's a new market.

Resolution source will be Inside Higher Ed's list of student visa revokes at https://www.insidehighered.com/news/global/international-students-us/2025/04/07/where-students-have-had-their-visas-revoked

As of market creation time, 844 visas were known to have been revoked. The number of visas revoked for some universities are unknown.

There are roughly 1.1 million international student visa-holders in the US. Recently, colleges and universities said some of their students have lost their F-1 or J-1 student visas—some related to their activism and participation in student-led protests against the war in Gaza, others for minor crimes.

'Above' is equivalent to '>'

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