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MANIFOLD
How many days later will Edith publish his next post on akrasia on Lesswrong?
1
Ṁ70Ṁ10
resolved Feb 12
Resolved as
1.0%

So Edith's a new user, and he recently made his first post, named Stop Defeating Akrasia (1/4)!

When will he publish his next post?

Resolves to the number of days later (24 hour blocks later) his next post is published on, as a percentage. For example, if he publishes his next post 3 days after, then I will resolve as 3%. If he publishes his next post 3 days and 23 hours after, then I will still resolve as 3%.

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It was published 1 day, 23 hours and 53 minutes later, so according to my rules, this must resolve to 1% instead of 2%.

A version with a different market structure: