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ok, the 5 people responded, here are their percentages:

40, 75, 100 (wouldn't take any risk), 25, 95

thus, the median is 75.

I would do it for a 90% chance

100%, else not worth it

@AlanTennant really? there's a 0.000000001% chance you get stabbed regardless of this challenge or not, so why wouldnt 99.9999999% be good?

lmao I wouldn't do it even for 99.99% win chance

I have asked the first two people so far. Reception to this question is mixed.

How will you select the 5 people you ask?

@PhilipDowdell my family and friends, will range from ~15 yo to 50

Market Resolution:

I will ask 5 people for their minimum required P%. This market resolves to the median (middle value) of those 5 values.

Those people will have follow-up questions. How will you answer those questions.

@marvingardens give me an example? i will answer any clarifications based on the market information.

@bobalobascrob I mean what does it matter what example I give you? I can't anticipate everything these five people will ask you.

Here's an example: How severe, how long-term? What're you going to do with the example? Answering it doesn't really address the fact that these five people will come up with unanticipated follow-up questions

@marvingardens ah that's a good point. how's this, i won't answer any follow up questions to keep it consistent. all the information they're given is the information in this market.

I choose P=100 and I'm fine? Is it supposed to be P-100 for the chance of being stabbed?

i rephrased it. of course everyone would be fine at 100, but many would also spin the wheel at 99 or 95 even.

this market is asking what the preferences of my 5 humans are

@Gen my bad, the market description was originally a bit wordy, i rephrased it. you can probably bet now.

@bobalobascrob oh I overlooked the minimum part. Makes sense!

@Gen cool! what value would you choose (you dont need to bet, i'm just interested)

@bobalobascrob probably around 30? idk, maybe 80 when I see the knife

@Gen lmao

me personally i'd prefer a much higher value but we'll see what the people i ask say

Ummm? https://youtu.be/pixh1vrogjE?si=G3jjAXOgGPe2-zY1

@Web3ICP huh, interesting video on rube goldberg machine but how is this relevant ... ?

@bobalobascrob You could make your proposition simpler or use words that make it so. Have a great day!

@Web3ICP ah i see, i will make it simpler!

@Web3ICP ok, i rephrased it, how is it now?

@bobalobascrob Understood. Now it's just ugly. LOL I prefer to receive 1 Billion and be non-fatally stabbed. 🤣

@Web3ICP and... ?

it's either or (one of the two), but you can choose the probability of getting either (and the question asks for your minimum probability

@bobalobascrob And what. I choose not to play now that I fully understand. Have a great day!