What will I achieve in the upcoming math competition season?

Question

Resolves YES if I achieve any of these in the 2026-2027 contest season, and NO otherwise. Will not resolve N/A if I don't / can't attend, but will resolve N/A if the contest is not held. For context:

I attended HMMT Feb in 2026, and got 5, 5, 3 questions on the individual rounds, placing me between 100th and 150th place.

I have attended PUMaC in division A in the last year , getting ~ 32nd place in both of my subject tests Geo and NT.

I have gotten USAMO bronze last year, and USAJMO Honors the year before.

I have missed tiebreakers by 1 point twice in ARML.

(*) The list of college math competitions here includes CMIMC, MMATHS, SMT, BMT, DMM, BrUMO, CUBRMC, and Penn Math Contest. I live on the east coast, and have attended MMATHS, and CMIMC before.

I will not bet on this market.

Similar markets:

Which of these will I achieve? | Manifold

https://manifold.markets/E142/what-will-i-achieve-in-the-upcoming

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, AMM silver or higher, followed by USAMO silver or higher and PUMaC finals in A division are most likely. See the market for live updates (3 traders, as of Jul 29, 2026).

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