Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
What will I achieve in the upcoming math competition season?
10
Ṁ175Ṁ912
2027
68%
HMMT top 50 overall OR top 10 in any subject
68%
PUMaC 1st overall in B division OR make finals in A division
91%
USAMO silver or higher
85%
AMM silver or higher
48%
ARML top 20 individual OR Lehigh Valley A1 wins
94%
Get top 12th grader in the Lehigh Valley Math Contest
76%
Get 1st individual in any other in-person college math competition (*)

Resolves YES if I achieve any of these in the 2026-2027 contest season, and NO otherwise. Will not resolve N/A if I don't / can't attend, but will resolve N/A if the contest is not held. For context:

  • I attended HMMT Feb in 2026, and got 4, 3, 5 questions on the individual rounds, placing me between 100th and 150th place.

  • I have attended PUMaC in division B in the last two years, reaching finals both times, and getting 3rd overall + 1st in algebra last year.

  • I have gotten USAMO bronze twice in the past two years.

  • I have reached tiebreakers twice in ARML, but in neither case did I solve the first two tiebreaker problems, and thus I ended up in approximately 60th place both times.

  • (*) The list of college math competitions here includes CMIMC, MMATHS, SMT, BMT, BrUMO, CUBRMC, and Penn Math Contest. I live on the east coast, and have attended MMATHS, CMIMC, and BrUMO in person before.

I shall not bet on this market.

Similar markets:

Which of these will I achieve? | Manifold

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!