Resolution criteria

This market resolves based on the outcome of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 match between the United States and Belgium scheduled for Monday, July 6, 2026, at Seattle Stadium.

• YES will resolve if the United States (USMNT) wins the match and advances to the quarterfinals.

• NO will resolve if Belgium wins the match and advances to the quarterfinals.

Rules & Edge Cases:

• Method of Victory: Because this is a single-elimination knockout stage match, a winner must be determined. This market will resolve based on the team that advances, whether the victory occurs in regular time, extra time, or via a penalty shootout.

• Postponement: If the match is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the rescheduled match, provided it is played within 7 days of the originally scheduled kickoff. If the match is canceled or not played within this timeframe, the market will resolve to 50/50.

• Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined using official statistics and match reports from the FIFA Official Website or the U.S. Soccer Match Center.

Background

The United States and Belgium meet in a highly anticipated Round of 16 matchup at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

• United States: The USMNT advanced to the Round of 16 after defeating Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-0 in the Round of 32. However, the team will be without forward Folarin Balogun due to a red card suspension.

• Belgium: Belgium booked their spot in the Round of 16 with a 3-2 victory over Senegal.

• History: This match serves as a high-stakes rematch of their iconic 2014 World Cup Round of 16 clash, where Belgium defeated the USA 2-1 in extra time.