20 mana bonus: Traders who place a bet on all five options and leave a comment letting me know will receive a 20 mana bonus.
This market resolves based on the official closing value of the S&P 500 (^GSPC) on September 30, 2026.
Each option resolves independently based on whether the S&P 500 closes strictly above the stated level.
For example, if the S&P 500 closes at 7,820:
Above 7,550 → YES
Above 7,650 → YES
Above 7,750 → YES
Above 7,850 → NO
Above 7,950 → NO
If the S&P 500 closes above 7,950, all five options resolve YES.
Resolution source
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) closing value displayed on Yahoo Finance for September 30, 2026 will be the primary resolution source.
If Yahoo Finance is unavailable or displays an erroneous value, another reputable financial data source may be used to determine the official S&P 500 closing value.
People are also trading
@traders due to extenuating circumstances, i am quitting manifold and will not be able to monitor and manage my markets, i give permission to community members to decide on resolution and for mods to resolve for me independently, as the criteria are publicly available and are unlikely to be ambiguous.
@traders reminder about the 20 mana bonus, do let me know if you’ve traded all 5 so i can send you the mana!