for a 10 mana bonus, make any trade on all five options and ping me in comments, i’ll send the bonus once i see it :) (only applicable for unique human traders)
This market resolves based on the total number of hours I study during September 2026, from 1 September 2026 to 30 September 2026 inclusive.
Study time will be measured using my YPT (Yeolpumta) study tracker. The final recorded total at the end of September will determine the resolution.
I will provide updates on my recorded study time anywhere from daily to at least once a week throughout the market period.
At the end of the month, before resolving the market, I will upload a screenshot showing the total monthly study time, the relevant data, and a daily breakdown.
For reference, my recorded monthly study totals in 2026 so far are:
● January: 99:20:32
● February: 143:39:50
● March: 170:55:54
● April: 173:07:21
● May: 197:19:00
● June: 246:21:46
● July: 202:21:41
● August: 251:21:42
Only time recorded as study time in YPT will count. Breaks, leisure activities, and other untracked work will not be included.
I am the subject of this market and I am allowed to trade on it. I may be motivated by my positions (but at the end of the day, exams are exams).
If any tracking error, duplicate entry, or clearly accidental timer entry occurs, I may correct it before resolution so that the final figure reflects my actual study time as accurately as possible.
Update 2026-09-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has announced they are leaving Manifold and will resolve this market to N/A.
1,000People are also trading
@traders i’d like to increase trading volume on this market so i get a better estimate of my predicted study time, so i’ll also be giving a 100 mana bonus to the trader with highest profit at market resolution! and note the 10 mana bonus which many of you haven’t claimed :)
@traders due to extenuating circumstances, i am quitting manifold and will not be able to monitor and manage my markets, thus will be resolving remaining options to n/a
@bigyahu wtf noooooooooooo don't do that, N/A is BAD. Just come back at the end of september and resolve!
@traders 260 is actually possible 🤯
September 8 — 10:21:46
Running total — 68:37:03
Daily average — 8:34:38
Projected September total — 257:18:56
@traders 260 hmmm
September 7 — 11:35:49
Running total — 58:15:17
Daily average — 8:19:20
Projected September total — 249:39:47
September 6 — 11:33:07
Running total — 46:39:28
Daily average — 7:46:35
Projected September total — 233:17:20
You cannot offer bonuses to people for trading, which are worth less than the benefit you receive from them trading. For example:
5 answer trades, you get M30, you pay out M10 -> no good!
It would be ok if you paid out M30. Though, don't overdo it -- while it's ok to pay for traders if you actually want to, we prefer you do it through adding liquidity
Also, it is slightly worse again if you are having people comment to claim the prize (this can manipulate the algo scoring)
It's not a big deal, particularly if it's infrequent, but if we allow it universally it quickly becomes a race to the bottom to farm bonuses
@traders i’d like to increase trading volume on this market so i get a better estimate of my predicted study time, so i’ll also be giving a 100 mana bonus to the trader with highest profit at market resolution! and note the 10 mana bonus which many of you haven’t claimed :)
September 5 — 10:35:38
Running total — 35:06:21
Daily average — 7:01:16
Projected September total — 210:38:06
September 4 — 10:53:20
Running total — 24:30:43
Daily average — 6:07:41
Projected September total — 183:50:23
@traders this market is really interesting, somehow it’s pricing a coin toss that i exceed last month - 11 hours, yet 32% that i have a highest ever month by 8 hours