The top human trader in this market (highest profit, excluding myself) will receive a 100 mana bonus on market resolution!
This market resolves based on the price of Bitcoin (BTC) at:
September 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT
September 11, 2026 at 00:00 UTC
Each option resolves independently based on whether Bitcoin is trading strictly above the stated price at the resolution time.
For example, if Bitcoin is $78,500 at resolution:
Above $72,500 → YES
Above $75,000 → YES
Above $77,500 → YES
Above $80,000 → NO
Above $82,500 → NO
If Bitcoin is above $82,500, all five options resolve YES.
Resolution source
The BTC-USD price displayed on Yahoo Finance at the specified resolution time will be the primary resolution source.
If the exact price at 8:00 PM EDT / 00:00 UTC is unavailable, the closest available Yahoo Finance BTC-USD price to the resolution time will be used.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ618 | |
| 2 | Ṁ136 | |
| 3 | Ṁ104 | |
| 4 | Ṁ101 | |
| 5 | Ṁ92 |
@traders ill just be paying the 100 out to the current top highest trader since i’m quitting. @perfperfperf
@perfperfperf np, do check out what’s going on on my YES and NO holders market, if you could purchase just 1 mana of YES and hold it it’d help a lot
@traders due to extenuating circumstances, i am quitting manifold and will not be able to monitor and manage my markets, i give permission to community members to decide on resolution and for mods to resolve for me independently, as the criteria are publicly available and are unlikely to be ambiguous.