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MANIFOLD
Bitcoin price in 7 days? (100 mana prize, read desc)
37
Ṁ1kṀ24k
resolved Sep 11
Resolved
YES
Above $72,500
Resolved
YES
Above $75,000
Resolved
NO
Above $77,500
Resolved
NO
Above $80,000
Resolved
NO
Above $82,500

The top human trader in this market (highest profit, excluding myself) will receive a 100 mana bonus on market resolution!

This market resolves based on the price of Bitcoin (BTC) at:

September 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT
September 11, 2026 at 00:00 UTC

Each option resolves independently based on whether Bitcoin is trading strictly above the stated price at the resolution time.

For example, if Bitcoin is $78,500 at resolution:

  • Above $72,500 → YES

  • Above $75,000 → YES

  • Above $77,500 → YES

  • Above $80,000 → NO

  • Above $82,500 → NO

If Bitcoin is above $82,500, all five options resolve YES.

Resolution source

The BTC-USD price displayed on Yahoo Finance at the specified resolution time will be the primary resolution source.

If the exact price at 8:00 PM EDT / 00:00 UTC is unavailable, the closest available Yahoo Finance BTC-USD price to the resolution time will be used.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

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price was 76,536.54, can resolve

@traders ill just be paying the 100 out to the current top highest trader since i’m quitting. @perfperfperf

sold Ṁ49 NO

@bigyahu thanks ☺️

@perfperfperf np, do check out what’s going on on my YES and NO holders market, if you could purchase just 1 mana of YES and hold it it’d help a lot

@traders due to extenuating circumstances, i am quitting manifold and will not be able to monitor and manage my markets, i give permission to community members to decide on resolution and for mods to resolve for me independently, as the criteria are publicly available and are unlikely to be ambiguous.

@traders 24 hours to close

@traders 2 days to resolution, @perfperfperf now in the lead for the prize

@traders market is a little mispriced now!

bought Ṁ5 YES

@bigyahu doesn't look that mispriced!??!

@bobalobascrob 48% alcove 80k seems mispriced to me with the short term downtrend

@traders daniel still in the lead!

@bigyahu Just to check, the bonus is given based on after resolution profit right?

@frankjiang yup! so arbitrage and active trading gives you a higher chance

@traders new interesting september market with 20 mana bonus:

@traders daniel still in the lead for the bonus, but frank is close!

@traders daniel in the lead with 76 profit!

bought Ṁ4 NO

You say all four options resolve yes but there are 5 options?

@bumin typo, thanks

reposted

new market type