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MANIFOLD
Will Israel’s proposed hostage/Sinwar deal be accepted?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ898
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Israel has put a proposal on the table that would end fighting in the Gaza Strip and give the head of Hamas safe passage out of the enclave in exchange for the immediate release of all hostages held in Gaza, the demilitarization of the Strip and the establishment of an alternative governing power there

https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-offers-to-end-war-let-sinwar-go-if-all-hostages-freed-at-once-gaza-disarmed/

Market context
Israel
Israel-Hamas Conflict
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Gaza
Lebanon
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Is this as described in the quote? If the ultimate deal doesn’t involve demilitarisation and establishment of an alternate power, but Sinwar is still allowed safe passage, how does this revolve?

@OP If this proposal as described in the quote is not agreed, then the market resolves NO.

@OP Here’s a specific market about Sinwar leaving Gaza https://manifold.markets/biased/will-hamas-leader-sinwar-leave-gaza?r=Ymlhc2Vk

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