Will there be a death at the 2024 DNC Protests?
Mini
20
แน€3041
resolved Aug 27
Resolved
NO

Must be related to the protests (or any kind of violence at the DNC, broadly speaking) themselves. Unrelated medical incidents would not count. May resolve to PROB (such as 50%) in case of a truly ambiguous case. Location is not limited to Chicago: for instance Harris may speak in Wisconsin during the DNC, and a death at a protest at that speech would also lead to a YES resolution, as would DNC protests taking place clearly about the DNC elsewhere, or protests afterwards if they continue after the resolution of the DNC (clear continuity required, not completely unrelated subsequent protests).

I will not bet in this market. End date may be extended if DNC protests in Chicago continue, or if there is ambiguity over whether there was a death.

For other markets on the seriousness of the DNC Protests, check these out: https://manifold.markets/benshindel/will-the-2024-dnc-protests-be-serio?r=YmVuc2hpbmRlbA

https://manifold.markets/benshindel/will-the-2024-dnc-protests-make-the?r=YmVuc2hpbmRlbA

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@benshindel This can resolve to NO, thank you!

reposted

1% seems quite low, given that there are 3 days left