Will Trump go a full week without speaking live on camera before the end of 2026?
41
Ṁ100Ṁ5.4kDec 31
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Live camera appearances must be unambiguous. I will use my best judgment as to what that entails, but I will not be conspiratorial (like, I'm not going to give credence to pixel-by-pixel analysis of all video footage out of the White House or whatever).
By week, I mean 24*7 hours, not a calendar week.
I will not bet in this market to remain objective.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
[ACX 2026] Will Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours during 2026?
14% chance
Will Donald Trump live till the end of 2028?
82% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2026?
1% chance
Will Donald Trump keep the position of the President of the USA for all of 2026?
88% chance
Will Trump serve until the end of his term in 2028?
73% chance
Will Donald Trump serve a full term?
76% chance
Will Trump attempt to defund CSPAN by the end of 2026?
66% chance
Will Trump successfully defund CSPAN by the end of 2026?
45% chance
Will Trump speak at the 2028 RNC?
60% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2027?
1% chance
Sort by:
@Titus I think this means that a gap in appearances from noon Sunday to 1pm the following Sunday would qualify, while a "calendar week" would require no appearances on seven consecutive calendar days.
People are also trading
Related questions
[ACX 2026] Will Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours during 2026?
14% chance
Will Donald Trump live till the end of 2028?
82% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2026?
1% chance
Will Donald Trump keep the position of the President of the USA for all of 2026?
88% chance
Will Trump serve until the end of his term in 2028?
73% chance
Will Donald Trump serve a full term?
76% chance
Will Trump attempt to defund CSPAN by the end of 2026?
66% chance
Will Trump successfully defund CSPAN by the end of 2026?
45% chance
Will Trump speak at the 2028 RNC?
60% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2027?
1% chance