Will the next Congress repeal or substantially amend the Height Act?
13
1kṀ7052027
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See this Matt Yglesias tweet for reference:
https://x.com/mattyglesias/status/1829536404357234843?s=46&t=62uT9IruD1-YP-SHFkVEPg
The Height of Buildings Act affects the maximum height of buildings in DC. DC, being not-a-state, requires acts of congress to address this.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Height_of_Buildings_Act_of_1910
This resolves YES if by the end of the NEXT CONGRESS (thru Jan 3 2027), the Height Act is repealed or substantially (I will be the judge of substantially) amended.
This also resolves YES if it happens THIS congress!
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will the TAKE IT DOWN Act pass Congress by July 1st 2025?
10% chance
Will the next Congress (2025-2026) pass any significant immigration legislation?
66% chance
Will there be a proposed repeal of the 1st amendment in congress before 2032?
24% chance
Which US Congress will be the next to pass a comprehensive housing bill?
Will the US executive order flops ceiling be updated/raised/revised before 2027?
98% chance
Will Congress pass sweeping deregulatory measures by the end of 2026?
61% chance
Will at least part of the Americans with Disabilities Act be repealed or abolished by the end of 2026?
36% chance
Will legislation be passed into law that lays out process for enforcing 14th amendment during 118th congress?
5% chance
Will the Jones Act be repealed or significantly eased by the end of the next presidency?
44% chance
Will the 1906 Dredge Act be substantially repealed before 2028?
45% chance