See this article for context:
Resolves YES if Michael Waltz, one of his staff members, or anyone else implicated in the war plans breach described by Jeffrey Goldberg in the Atlantic, is fired or resigns by the end of June for this reason.
Resolves YES if someone is fired and it's not explicitly stated why, or an excuse is given that is different than this one, but the consensus of trustworthy/media sources are at least fairly confident that it is because of this breach.
Must happen by the end of June.
Update 2025-03-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Update on Resolution Criteria:
Resignations linked to perjury: A resignation that occurs because an individual perjures themselves in relation to the breach described in the article will count.
Connection to the breach is required: The resignation must clearly be tied to the war plans breach as discussed, even if the stated reason (perjury) is not the exact wording used in the market description.
1,000Scoop: Multiple firings on Trump's National Security Council after Loomer visit
Note: “Axios has not confirmed whether any of the individuals let go were in any way connected to the separate controversy about the use of Signal and private email accounts by national security adviser Michael Waltz and NSC staff to discuss sensitive information.”
https://www.axios.com/2025/04/03/trump-laura-loomer-fire-national-security-council
@PoliticalEconomyPK If someone wasn’t scapegoated already I say unlikely. Seems like we’re past max pressure on this. Could be wrong tho
https://www.newsweek.com/israel-houthis-signal-war-plans-leak-2051724
When Israeli officials are upset you know it’s over
@NicoMach going to be interesting if she doesn't resign and from then on lying under oath is consequence-free
@Sketchy also sorry for making a somewhat duplicative market of yours, I didn't see it when I made it.
But it's bizarre that mine is trading lower than yours because mine has a longer time horizon and also could involve the firing/resigning of ANYONE, not just the people in the groupchat.
@bens Agreed it's bizarre lol, I don't mind the duplicate at all! I think mine should be strictly lower than yours too.