What will be true about Pope Leo's first encyclical (rumored to be about AI)?
6
Ṁ250Ṁ549May 14
92%
Condemns autonomous weapons
85%
Called "Magnifica Humanitas" (or something very close to or including that phrase)
76%
Primarily about artificial intelligence
67%
Mentions deepfakes
62%
Addresses whether AI can possess a soul
59%
Released by May 15th, 11:59pm Rome time
37%
Trump or J.D. Vance responds to it in some form within 24 hours
20%
Mentions the possibility of human extinction from AI
3%
Cites an arxiv preprint
3%
Mentions by name Sam Altman, Demis Hassabis, Dario Amodei, or Eliezer Yudkowsky
I will not bet on this market as I will be resolving these to the best of my ability, in the spirit of the questions.
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