Resolves YES for boy (for Y chromosome)
Resolves NO for girl (something something Simone de Beauvoir)
Background:
My friend is a business professor
His wife is a business professor
Her sister works in private equity
Her husband is a screenwriter
The latter two are having a child. The gender of the child affects a lot. Will my friend’s brother-in-law have a son that can carry on his ancestral worship at the family hearth? Will my friend’s sister-in-law have a daughter who will carry on her family’s tradition of competent and results-driven private equity? Your betting behavior on this market might change the incentives here to throw the balance of power in one direction or the other. Bet carefully.
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@MaxA nothing ever happens so this bet is pretty smart… I’d price this market at ~30% personally, despite having no inside information
How good-looking is your friend's sister-in-law's husband?
(Also - you're asking about the child's sex, not its gender.)
@MaxA quite good-looking! Hotter than me, for reference, also better dressed, more neurotic, and with worse takes.