Is my friend’s sister-in-law having a boy or a girl?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ312027
45%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES for boy (for Y chromosome)
Resolves NO for girl (something something Simone de Beauvoir)
Background:
My friend is a business professor
His wife is a business professor
Her sister works in private equity
Her husband is a screenwriter
The latter two are having a child. The gender of the child affects a lot. Will my friend’s brother-in-law have a son that can carry on his ancestral worship at the family hearth? Will my friend’s sister-in-law have a daughter who will carry on her family’s tradition of competent and results-driven private equity? Your betting behavior on this market might change the incentives here to throw the balance of power in one direction or the other. Bet carefully.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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