A weaker form of
and
This market will resolve "Yes" if Taylor Swift addresses the Trump Truth Social posts implying her endorsement of the Trump campaign. This resolves yes with the "Yes" resolution of either of the above markets. Unlike the above market, this will resolve "Yes" if Swift anti-endorses Trump rather than endorsing Kamala, makes a statement that the images are fake and/or AI generated, or other claims against the validity of Trump's post and/or campaign.
Note that this question resolves with the election, rather than the end of year like the "sue" question does.
To avoid bias in resolution, the question creator will only buy "Yes" shares in this market if it is below either of the two above questions, and will only sell "Yes" or buy "No" towards a zero position.
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this will resolve "Yes" if Swift anti-endorses Trump rather than endorsing Kamala
Can you say more about this? Would any criticism of Trump trigger a YES resolution? This isn’t quite the same as publicly addressing the endorsement fakes. For the same reason I don’t understand why endorsing Harris would automatically trigger a resolution.
I know this is in the description, and I bet accordingly, but this still makes the title slightly misleading to me.
@NicoDelon This is meant to be weaker than endorsing Kamala. So any statement of the effect “that wasn’t me” “I don’t endorse Trump” “don’t vote for Trump” also resolve yes, in addition to “I support Kamala” or “Trump, you’ve been served” since either of these will also imply that Swift is not endorsing Trump.
@benmanns These seem like good conditions for a question about endorsement, less so for a question specifically about addressing the AI-generated Trump endorsement claims. But this is your market, so duly noted. Thanks for the clarification.
Oops, I did not read the description closely enough. I thought that to "address the AI-generated Trump endorsement claims", she would need to, you know, address the AI-generated Trump endorsement claims, which involves mentioning them or at the very least alluding to them. Thanks @NicoDelon for raising this.
Sold out of this market, since I think there's a very good chance she will endorse the Democratic ticket but completely ignore the fakes (at least publicly).
Perhaps I will create a more literal version of this market.