Will Jannik Sinner win all four Grand Slams in 2025?
8
1kṀ8057
resolved Jun 8
Resolved
NO

Jannik Sinner just won the 2025 Australian Open, setting him up to potentially win all four Grand Slams this year. Currently (2025-01-26 22:05:59 UTC), Manifold is predicting 24% for the French Open, 31% for Wimbledon, and 29% for the US Open. Simple multiplication (assuming no correlation, which I highly doubt) would indicate a 2.16% chance of winning all four. What do you think?

Rules:

  • This seems pretty non-subjective, so I may bet in this market.

  • Close date may be adjusted to reflect schedule changes.

  • If for any reason one of the tournaments does not play in 2025, but is played later and considered the "2025" make-up tournament, it will count, and the close date will be extended.

  • If a tournament is cancelled altogether, resolves N/A.

Feel free to ask clarifications!

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