What will the closing price of TSLA be on January 16, 2026? Price will determined by the end of regular trading closing price according to their primary listing exchange (Nasdaq).

This market explores the conditional nature of the TSLA stock price in concert with three other markets:

First, will Elon Musk remain CEO through January 16, 2026?

Next, what will the stock price be if he remains?

What will the stock price be if he leaves or is otherwise removed?

The weighted sum of these probabilities should match the overall stock price, regardless of whether Elon Musk remains CEO or not (this market).