Pretrial detention does not count, nor does house arrest. Closing date may be extended as needed.
Related questions
@Manifold There is a major bug, at least with the mobile web app on iOS. As I purchase “yes”,
https://manifold.markets/benjaminIkuta/will-caroline-ellison-be-imprisoned
the price goes up (say 66%->70%). But when I reload the page the price is still 66%, so I figure a limit/bot has bid in the other direction and I can buy more. It shows me buying again at 66%, raising it to 68% after I execute the trade. But then when I reload the page it says I actually bought at the higher price, going from 70% to 74% or whatever. I took screenshots while doing this to confirm.
Maybe I am very confused about how the purchases/valuation work, but this seems very, very contrary to my expectations. This same bug is almost certainly what caused me to briefly bid up this market to 99% (which I would obviously not intend to do)
https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/will-spacex-land-a-super-heavy-boos
I thought at the time I had misclicked in my rush to trade on recent news (I said to myself “I could have sworn I bid it up to only 85%”) and I chalked it up to a learning experience. Now I realize it was almost certainly caused by the same bug.
