Will Caroline Ellison be imprisoned at all? | Manifold

Will Caroline Ellison be imprisoned at all?

Plus

39

Ṁ45k

Dec 31

99%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Pretrial detention DOES count. Closing date may be extended as needed. House arrest also counts.

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Shouldn’t this resolve to YES? She’s been sentenced to 24 months after pleading guilty

@Yiddishe_Kupp1980 has she already started serving her sentence?

@benjaminIkuta Ah no not yet. She was ordered to report to prison Nov 7.

bought Ṁ2,000 YES

Please resolve to YES

@WallStreetCorgi Source?

I think her sentence is scheduled to start in early November, might still change.

@10thOfficial okay we'll wait until then

(My bet is an arb, and does not reflect my belief.)

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-caroline-ellison-be-sentenced?r=QmVuamFtaW5Ja3V0YQ

Will Caroline Ellison be sentenced to any prison time?

66% chance. Pretrial detention does not count. Closing date may be extended as needed.

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